Sebi tweaks exposure limits for brokers

Sebi modified open interest limits for bank and non-bank stock brokers in currency derivative contracts. 

Besides, the markets regulator has asked stock exchanges to have a uniform methodology for computing and monitoring proprietary position limits in the currency contracts. 

In currency derivatives parlance, open interest generally refers to positions taken by a broker that are yet to be closed. 

USD-INR, EUR-INR, GBP-INR and JPY-INR are among the currency derivative pairs or FCY-INR. 

With respect to bank stock brokers, the single INR limit for proprietary position will be the higher of the 15 per cent total open interest across all FCY-INR pairs or up to USD 200 million, the circular said. 

In the case of non-bank stock brokers, the same will be applicable except for the overall limit being capped at USD 100 million. 

The rupee movement has been volatile in recent weeks amid uncertain global cues. 

Stock exchanges and clearing corporations have to seek Sebi's approval for launching cross-currency derivatives products. 

"Such proposal shall, inter-alia, include the details of contract specifications, risk management framework, surveillance systems, and other requirements," the circular said. 

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आज का बाजार: कैसी रहेगी चाल, कहां मुनाफे की गारंटी

निफ्टी में 10000 के स्तर के बाद ऊपरी स्तर पर मुनाफावसूली देखने को मिल रही है। हालांकि बाजार में मुमेंटम जारी रहने की पूरी संभावनाएं बनी है। लेकिन बाजार की तेजी अब तक रहेगी यह कहना थोड़ा मुश्किल है। लिहाजा 10000 के स्तर पर निफ्टी का टिकना अहम है।

गौरांग शाह के मुताबिक यूएन सिक्योरिटी काउंसिल की बैठक में क्या फैसला लिया जाता है यह देखना जरुरी है क्योंकि इसके चलते बाजार में अनिश्चितता का माहौल बना रह सकता है।

शानदार कमाई की वैल्यू पिक्स

पीआई इंडस्ट्रीजः लंबे नजरिए से खरीदें, लक्ष्य 885 रुपये

गौरांग शाह ने लंबी अवधि के लिहाज से वैल्यू पिक के तौर पर पीआई इंडस्ट्रीज को चुना है। गौरांग शाह का कहना है कि कंपनी लगातार अच्छे नतीजे पेश कर रही है। हालांकि इस तिमाही में जीएसटी के कारण कंपनी के नतीजे पर थोड़ा असर जरुर देखऩे को मिला था। लेकिन कंसोलेडेशन के बाद इसमें और भी तेजी की उम्मीद है। लिहाजा इसमें 1 साल का नजरिया रख 885 रुपये के लक्ष्य के लिए खरीदारी की जा सकती है।

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Three IPOs to hit market this week to raise Rs 6,600 cr

Three companies -- Matrimony.com, Capacit'e Infraprojects and ICICI Lombard -- will launch their initial share sale offers this week to raise about Rs 6,600 crore.

The initial public offer (IPO) of Matrimony.com, which runs online match-making portals, will be open from September 11-13.

The IPO comprises fresh issue aggregating up to Rs 130 crore and an offer for sale of up to 37.67 lakh equity shares.

Matrimony.com, which runs online match-making business under BharatMatrimony brand, among others, is expected to raise over Rs 500 crore.

The price band for the IPO has been fixed in the range of Rs 983-985 per share.

The company has raised nearly Rs 226 crore from anchor investors on Friday.

Besides, ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company has set Rs 651-661 as the price band for its IPO, which will make it a Rs 5,700 crore issue.

The issue, the first by any general insurance company, will be open for subscription from September 15-19.

So far this year, 19 companies, including BSE, Avenue Supermarts and Central Depository Services (India) Limited, have hit the market with their IPOs.

Last week, Dixon Technologies and Bharat Road Network concluded their IPOs.

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Sebi imposes Rs 2,423 cr fine on PACL, 4 directors

Regulator Sebi today imposed Rs 2,423 crore fine on PACL Ltd and its four directors for illegal fund mobilisation through various schemes that were used by the group to garner over Rs 49,000 crore from the public.

While the group, which had collected money in the name of real estate projects among other schemes, was asked by Sebi nearly three years ago to refund Rs 49,100 crore to the investors, the regulator has passed a fresh order to impose a monetary penalty for violation of Sebi's Prevention of Fraudulent and Unfair Trade Practices Regulations. 

The refund process is being overseen by a Supreme Court- appointed committee, which has been able to collect "only a few hundred crores", Sebi said, while noting that the case requires imposition of a much bigger penalty equivalent to three times of the illicit gains made by them.

About the latest case, for which the order was passed today, Sebi said the magnitude of the violation can be assessed from the fact that huge illegal mobilisation of money was made leading to consequent profits to the tune of Rs 2,423 crore in a short span of less than one year.

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GDR manipulation: Sebi cracks down on foreign, domestic firms

Cracking the whip, Sebi today barred 19 domestic and foreign entities from securities markets for manipulation in issuances of global depository receipts and warned several others including FIIs. 

The regulator has imposed a ten-year ban on K Sera Sera and Asahi Infrastructure and Projects, which figured among the six companies whose GDR issuances were manipulated, while at least 26 entities including European American Investment Bank AG (Euram) have been warned that all their future dealings in Indian markets should be strictly as per regulations. 

Sebi has been probing misuse of GDRs (Global Depository Receipts) for routing black money back to India for which role of more than 50 individuals and companies was under scanner. 

The modus-operandi typically involves creating an intricate web of entities in offshore locations for multi- layered transfers of funds before bringing them back to India. 

GDR is a popular financial instrument used by listed companies in India, as also in many other countries, to raise funds denominated mostly in US dollar or euros. 

Typically, GDRs are bank certificates issued in more than one country for shares of a company, which are held by a foreign branch of an international bank. While shares trade on a domestic stock exchange, which happens to be in India in the present case, they can be offered for sale globally through the empanelled bank branches.

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RBI includes HDFC Bank in 'too big to fail' list

RBI included HDFC Bank in the list of 'too big to fail' lenders, referred to as D-SIB or domestic systemically important bank.

India's largest lender SBI and private sector major ICICI Bank were classified as D-SIBs in 2015.

With the inclusion of HDFC Bank in the list, there will now be three 'too big to fail' financial entities in the country.

SIBs are subjected to higher levels of supervision so as to prevent disruption in financial services in the event of any failure.

"The additional Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) requirement for D-SIBs has already been phased-in from April 1, 2016 and will become fully effective from April 1, 2019," the Reserve Bank said in a statement.

The additional CET1 or core capital requirement will be in addition to the capital conservation buffer, it added.

RBI had issued the framework for dealing with D-SIBs in July 2014.

As per the framework, RBI has to disclose the names of banks designated as D-SIBs every year in August starting from 2015 and place these banks in appropriate buckets depending upon their Systemic Importance Scores (SISs).

SIBs are seen as 'too big to fail (TBTF)', creating expectation of government support for them in times of financial distress. These banks also enjoy certain advantages in funding markets.

On the downside, according to some experts, expectations of government support amplifies risk-taking, reduces market discipline, creates competitive distortions and increases probability of distress in future.

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RBI income in FY17 dips 24%, while expenses rise 108%

The Reserve Bank of India’s income for the year 2016-17 decreased by 23.56 percent while its expenditure increased by 107.84 percent, according to its annual report.

The year ended with an overall surplus of Rs 30,659 crore, a decline of 53.46 percent from Rs 65,876 crore in the previous year. This surplus was transferred as dividend to the government.

“The balance sheet size of the Reserve Bank increased marginally by 1.88 percent for the year ended June 30, 2017, RBI said in its annual report.

The balance sheet of the Reserve Bank reflects its role in the functioning of the country’s economy largely in terms of the activities carried out in pursuance of its currency issue function as well as monetary policy and reserve management objectives.

The balance sheet increased by Rs 61,083 crore from Rs 32.43 lakh crore as on June 30, 2016 to Rs 33.04 lakh crore as on June 30, 2017.

“The increase on the asset side was due to the increase in foreign investments and domestic investments by 2.70 percent and 7.45 percent, respectively, and capital contribution to the subsidiaries of the Reserve Bank. On the liability side, the increase was mainly due to increase in deposits by 76.96 percent.

Domestic assets constituted 24.32 percent while the foreign currency assets and gold (including gold held in India) constituted 75.68 percent of total assets as on June 30, 2017 as against 24.59 percent and 75.41 percent, respectively, as on June 30, 2016,” the report added.

Further, provisions of Rs 13,140 crore and Rs 50 lakh were made and transferred to Contingency Fund (CF) and Asset Development Fund (ADF), respectively.

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LIC trims stake in Tata Global Beverages to 5.67%

State-owned Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) has reduced its shareholding in FMCG firm Tata Global Beverages Ltd (TGBL) to 5.67 per cent by selling 2.03 stake in open market. 

LIC sold 1.28 crore shares, representing 2.03 per cent stake, of TGBL in open market between July 4 and August 23, the Tata group company said in a filing to BSE. 

The insurance giant had 7.70 per cent stake in TGBL earlier. 

In July, LIC had sold 2.14 per cent share in TGBL in the market to bring down its shareholding in the company to 7.70 per cent from 9.85 per cent earlier. 

TGBL's tea brand includes Tata Tea, Tetley, Good Earth Teas, Vitax, teapigs and JEMCA. 

It is the world's second-largest manufacturer and distributor of tea with significant brand presence in over 40 countries across Asia, Europe, North America, the Middle East, Africa and Australia. In coffee segment, it has Eight OClock and Grand brands. 

The Tata group firm also operates a coffee chain with Starbucks in India in a 50:50 joint venture. 

Shares of Tata Global Beverages Ltd (TGBL) ended at Rs 194.30 apiece, down 1.20 per cent, on the BSE.

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Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys still at an attractive valuation

We had initiated coverage on IMFA (Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys) sometime ago and the stock continues to impress us post its quarterly earnings report. The company reported a turnaround performance with a net profit of Rs 100 crore in Q1 of FY18 as against a loss of Rs 30 crore in the year ago period which was impacted due to production disruption and lower realization.

The performance for the quarter gone by was largely driven by recovery in chrome prices. Despite a 6 percent drop in sales volumes to 48,500 tonnes, the company saw 69 percent year-on-year growth in revenues as sales realizations stood at close to Rs 87,000 per tonne as against Rs 51,600 a tonne in Q1 of FY17.

The benefits of operating leverage also kicked in and, consequently, costs actually declined by 2 percent to Rs 247 crore. This translated to higher profitability. The company also saw 328 percent increase in other income thanks to the increasing cash in the books.

We estimate cash to reach around Rs 660 crore (currently about Rs 300 crore) or about 40 percent of its current market capitalization by the end of FY18. Our estimates suggest that the company should be reporting an annual net profit of close to Rs 290 crore in the current financial year. At the current market price of Rs 465, the stock is still attractively valued at about 4 times its FY18 estimated earnings. The attractive valuation is in addition to other fundamental strengths like high margin and return ratios and a strong balance sheet.

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टाटा मोटर्सः मुनाफा 41.6% बढ़ा, आय 9.6% घटी

वित्त वर्ष 2018 की पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स का मुनाफा 41.6 फीसदी बढ़कर 3200 करोड़ रुपये हो गया है। वित्त वर्ष 2017 की पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स का मुनाफा 2260 करोड़ रुपये रहा था।

वित्त वर्ष 2018 की पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स की आय 9.6 फीसदी घटकर 58,651 करोड़ रुपये रही है। वित्त वर्ष 2017 की पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स की आय 66,166 करोड़ रुपये रही थी।

सालाना आधार पर पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स का एबिटडा 7616 करोड़ रुपये से घटकर 5597 करोड़ रुपये रहा है। सालाना आधार पर पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स का एबिटडा मार्जिन 11.7 फीसदी से घटकर 9.6 फीसदी रहा है।

वहीं, वित्त वर्ष 2018 की पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स को 467 करोड़ रुपये का स्टैंडअलोन घाटा हुआ है। वित्त वर्ष 2017 की पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स का स्टैंडअलोन मुनाफा 25.7 करोड़ रुपये रहा था।

वित्त वर्ष 2018 की पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स की स्टैंडअलोन आय 9.3 फीसदी घटकर 10,375 करोड़ रुपये रही है। वित्त वर्ष 2017 की पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स की स्टैंडअलोन आय 11,435 करोड़ रुपये रही थी।

वित्त वर्ष 2018 की पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स का स्टैंडअलोन एबिटडा 64.1 करोड़ रुपये के घाटे में रहा है। वित्त वर्ष 2017 की पहली तिमाही में टाटा मोटर्स का स्टैंडअलोन एबिटडा 475 करोड़ रुपये के मुनाफे में था।

वित्त वर्ष 2018 की पहली तिमाही में जेएलआर का मुनाफा 59.5 करोड़ पाउंड रहा है, जिसमें 43.7 करोड़ पाउंड का एकमुश्त क्रेडिट शामिल है। सालाना आधार पर पहली तिमाही में जेएलआर की आय 24.4 करोड़ पाउंड बढ़कर 560 करोड़ पाउंड रही है।

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Nifty forms Head & Shoulder pattern, weakness to persist for sometime

The Nifty50 dropped for the third session in a row on Wednesday to close a tad above the 9,900 level. The index started forming lower tops and lower bottoms, while it may have also formed a ‘Head & Shoulder’ pattern on the daily charts. This signals more correction ahead, probably towards the 9,800 mark in the near term. 

On Wednesday, the Nifty50 tumbled as soon as the opening bell rang. At no point during the session did the index enter the positive terrain. The 50-pack index closed the day at 9,908, down 70.50 points, or 0.71 %. 

Mazhar Mohammad, Chief Strategist for Technical Research & Trading Advisory, Chartviewindia.in, said any follow-through selloff on Thursday could eventually drag the index towards its 50-day moving average placed around the 9,768 level. 

Mazhar advised traders to avoid buying on dips for the time being as they would be better off waiting for some initial signs of strength. 

Sacchitanand Uttekar, AVP, Technicals (Equity), Tradebulls, said that a Head & Shoulder formation seems to have emerged on the daily charts. 

“The index registered consecutive firm close below its neckline. The pattern indicates a target up to 9,800. A follow-through move below 9,800 could amplify the bearish momentum. As we expect the seasonality effect to be sip in during the current series, participants are advised to book profit where possible and wait for this corrective wave to pass,” Utekar said. 

Sameet Chavan of Angel Broking advised investors to use any bounce back towards 9,960-9,990 zone to move out of existing positions. “This corrective move is likely to extend towards the 9,870-9,820 zone,” he said. 

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GST Council to discuss rates of agri services, e-way bill issues

The all-powerful Goods and Services Tax (GST) Council will take up representations from the industry regarding revision of rates, while focusing primarily on changing tax rate of agriculture and agricultural services such as warehousing and garment job works.

The Council, headed by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley, will meet on Saturday to take a stock of implementation the country’s biggest tax reform that was rolled out on July 1.

It will also iron out crucial issues related to electronic-way (e-way) bill, finalise a mechanism to operationalise anti-profiteering clause and revisit the demands of the textile as well as other sectors, a senior government official told Moneycontrol.

The rates of items such as ribbons and gas stove may also be taken up for discussion, with agriculture being the main focus of the government.

Cigarette and tobacco products may be taken up yet again by the Council, the official said.

"Area-based exemptions for Assam and other north-eastern states may also be discussed," the official said.

Sources said that rates of IT products, fly-ash bricks, bio-diesel and certain food items such as dried fish and vegetable blended edible oil is likely to be brought down.

The Centre and the State is divided on certain parameters related to the e-way bill. For instance, states are of the opinion that the bill should be obtained for intra-state movement of goods, while Centre feels that it should be generated only for inter-state movement, the official explained, adding that the Council is most likely to debate on these issues.

While GST rate for certain items may be revised, the government has time and again reiterated that change in rate is not something that the Council in keen on, until something has been left out or there has been an error in judgement by the fitment committee.

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Govt raises Rs 535 cr from NFL share sale

The government's 15 per cent stake sale in National Fertilizers Ltd (NFL) today fetched Rs 535 crore to the exchequer, with over-subscription from both retail and institutional investors.

The two-day offer for sale (OFS) opened for retail investors today and was over-subscribed 1.66 times.

Against Rs 107 crore reserved for retail investors, total bids of Rs 178.67 crore were received.

Institutional investors' portion was over-subscribed 1.35 times yesterday with bids worth Rs 578.8 crore coming in against shares for value of Rs 428.57 crore at the floor price.

"Overall, NFL OFS for 15 per cent divestment for equity shares of 7.35 crore amounting to Rs 535.71 crore at the floor price Rs 72.80 per share, received a total demand for equity shares amounting to Rs 757.45 crore. Therefore, the OFS of NFL was over-subscribed by 1.41 times," the Finance ministry said in a statement.

This is the third CPSE OFS in the current financial year, and the government is likely to get Rs 535 crore approximately, it added.

The government shareholding in NFL after this OFS has come down to 74.71%.

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Nifty50 can scale Mt 1,00,000! Market veterans wager on time

It sounded absurd way back in 2001. The Nifty50 was ruling at sub-1,000 level right after the dotcom bubble burst. Who would have thought it would jump 10 times to hit 10,000 mark in next 16 years? 

But what about the next 10-times rise, to 1,00,000 mark? Will it take 15 years? 20 years? Or more? 

Analysts believe even if India Inc’s earnings grow in lower teens from here on, the index can climb the six-digit mark in just about 15 years. 

Historically, Nifty50’s earnings growth has been in the 15-17 per cent range. 

“Going forward, it will be a function of inflation and real GDP growth. Even if we see an early teens kind of compounding, that is something very much doable, we should grow another 10 times to reach the 1,00,000 mark on the Nifty50 over the next 15 to 20 years. That is something to look forward to for long-term investors,” said Gautam Sinha Roy, Fund Manager at Motilal Oswal Mutual Fund. 

What kind of wealth creation happens for investors in such a run will depend entirely on how much alpha fund managers can add. “Nifty hitting 10,000 is indeed a very momentous event, although it is more of psychological than anything else,” said Sinha Roy. 

For Porinju Veliyath, MD, Equity Intelligence India, the 10,000 mark is just a number. What he is interested in is the next 5-10 years. 

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Share Market Morning Update

Indian market witnessed a volatility week as benchmark indices closed marginally higher but over their crucial support levels. The Nifty50 closed 0.29 percent higher at 9,915 and the S&P BSE Sensex ended above 32,000 for the week ended 21 July.

The Nifty50 index is trading at its all-time high and the recent up move in the index has not been supported by broad market participation which in itself is a concern. It looks like that Indian market might be trading in last leg of its rally, suggest experts.

We have collated a list of top five stock ideas which could give up to 14% return in the next 5 sessions to 2 months:

Manappuram Finance: BUY| Target Rs119| Stop Loss Rs97| Return 14%

In last few months, this stock has consolidated in a broad range of Rs88-105. The prices are on the verge of a breakout from the resistance end of the mentioned range. In last few sessions, the volumes have increased with upmove in prices, which is a positive sign.

Hence, traders are advised to buy this stock at current levels and on declines up to Rs 104.50 for a target of Rs 119 over the next 14 – 21 sessions. The stop loss should be fixed at Rs 97.

IndusInd bank: SELL| Target Rs1518| Stop Loss Rs1599| Return 3%

This has been one of the steady outperforming stocks within the ‘Private’ banking space. At present, the stock is trading near its all time high; but, we are now observing a possibility of some short term correction.

Karnataka Bank: SELL| Target Rs142| Stop Loss Rs161| Return 9%

Post a stupendous up move from the levels of Rs100 to Rs180 in a span of less than seven months, the prices have undergone a consolidation phase since last few weeks.

Hence, traders are advised to sell this stock below Rs155 for a target of Rs 142 in short term. The stop loss should be fixed at Rs 161.

Container Corp: BUY| Target Rs1270| Stop Loss Rs1120| Return 7%

The stock closed at Rs1,180.55 on 21st July 2017. It made a 52-week low at Rs8,44.45 on 21st December 2016 and a 52-week high of Rs1,251.60 on 23rd May 2017. The 200-days Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stock on the daily chart is currently at Rs1,097.47

Traders can buy in the range of Rs 1,165-1,170 levels for the upside target of Rs 1,270-1,300 levels with a stop loss below Rs 1,120.

Bharti Infratel: BUY| Target Rs460| Stop Loss Rs 375| Return 12%

The stock closed at Rs410.30 on 21st July 2017. It made a 52-week low at Rs281.75 on 28th February 2017 and a 52-week high of Rs424.75 on 18th July 2017. The 200-days Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stock on the daily chart is currently at 363.59.

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I-T dept detects Rs 19,000 crore black money

The Income Tax department has detected over Rs 19,000 crore in black money following investigations into global leaks including HSBC account holders in Switzerland, the government said on Friday.

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said investigations into information, put into public domain by the ICIJ, pertaining to about 700 Indian persons allegedly linked to offshore entities based on no tax or low tax jurisdiction, have led to detection of more than Rs 11,010 crore of credits in undisclosed foreign accounts.

"72 prosecution complaints in 31 such cases have been filed before the criminal courts," he informed the Lok Sabha.

The government constituted a multi-agency group (MAG) in April 2016 for facilitation coordinated and speedy investigation in the cases of Indian persons allegedly having undisclosed foreign assets and whose names were reportedly included in Panama papers leak.

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Infosys beats TCS on almost all earnings parameters

IT giants TCS and Infosys delivered their much awaited first quarter earnings during the week, which were mixed in performance. Quantam wise both are not comparable but in growth terms Infosys beat TCS.

Infosys on Friday surprised the Street by reporting better-than-expected constant currency revenue growth (2.7 percent QoQ), dollar revenue (3.2 percent) and lower-than-expected 3.3 percent fall in profit.

At the same time, however, the Tata Group firm lagged Infosys as it posted 2 percent revenue growth in constant currency, 3.1 percent in dollar revenue and 10 percent fall in bottom line.

In rupee revenue terms, TCS and Infosys each posted 0.2 percent degrowth.

However, TCS beat Infosys only in volume growth (3.5 percent and 1.7 percent) and North America business (1.7 percent and 1.3 percent).

Attrition at Infosys was much higher at 21 percent compared with 11.6 percent of TCS during the quarter.

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आज का बाजारः कैसी रहेगी चाल, किस शेयर में मुनाफे की गारंटी

आज का बाजार इंफोसिस का नतीजों पर नजर रखेगा। कल आए टीसीएस के नतीजों में मार्जिन के मोर्चे पर काफी निराशा हुई है। इस स्थिति में अगर आज इंफोसिस के नतीजे अच्छे रहते हैं तो बाजार के सेंटीमेंट में सुधार आएगा। अगर ग्लोबल बाजार साथ देता है तो आज बाजार में और मुनाफा मिलेगा लेकिन 9950-9940 के स्तर पर थोड़ा-बहुत मुनाफा वसूली देखने को मिल सकती है। आज निफ्टी में ऊपरी स्तरों पर थोड़ा बहुत वसूली देखने को मिल सकती है। लेकिन निफ्टी जब तक 9000 का स्तर होल्ड करता है गिरावट पर खरीदारी की सलाह होगी।

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डीएचएफएल: खरीदें, 12 महीने का लक्ष्य 510 रुपये

दीवान हाउसिंग यानि डीएचएफएल भारत की चौथी सबसे बड़ी हाउसिंग फाइनेंस कंपनी है। कंपनी का फोकस छोटे शहरों और छोटे लोन पर है। साल 2012-16 के बीच कंपनी की लोन ग्रोथ 35 फीसदी के आसपास रही है। कंपनी 72 फीसदी लोन आम लोगों को देती है। कंपनी के नतीजे भी काफी अच्छे रहे हैं। 12 महीने की अवधि में डीएचएफएल में 510 रुपये का स्तर आसानी से देखने को मिल सकता है।

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