Tuesday 14 November 2017

OPEC, allies unlikely to delay decision on oil cut extension

OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers are moving towards deciding at their Nov. 30
meeting whether to extend a global agreement to curb oil supply further into 2018,
two ministers said on Monday, a quicker time frame than previously indicated.
Reuters reported last month, citing OPEC sources, that producers were leaning
towards prolonging the agreement until the end of 2018, though the decision could be
postponed until early next year depending on the market.
But United Arab Emirates Energy Minister Suhail bin Mohammed al-Mazroui said on
Monday he saw no need for the decision to be delayed beyond the Nov. 30 meeting in
Vienna. His Omani counterpart voiced confidence there would be an agreement this
month.
"I don't see the need to delay the decision until March ... We are not going to meet in
that quarter unless it is extraordinary," Mazroui said at an energy industry conference.
If there is a decision to extend the supply cut it will be until the end of 2018, said the
Omani oil minister, Mohammed bin Hamad al-Rumhi, adding that he did not think
producers would agree to deepen the curbs.

Mazroui, whose country next year holds the rotating OPEC presidency, said that while
the UAE backed an extension, he could not say yet whether it would support
maintaining the supply cut until the end of 2018.
In its November oil market report, OPEC increased the forecast for 2018 demand for
its crude by 360,000 bpd from last month's report to 33.42 million bpd.
It also said industrialised countries' September commercial oil inventories, a key
marker OPEC uses to measure market balance, fall by 23.6 million barrels to 2.985
billion barrels.
Stocks were 154 million barrels above the five-year average, the excess that OPEC
aims to eliminate.
OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo, speaking at the same event, said
participants in the deal are committed to achieving market stability.
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