Q1 performance of India's top 5 companies

Profit or loss -

We are half way into June quarter results and more than 15 Sensex companies have already declared their quarterly numbers.

While India Inc’s earnings growth continued to lag estimates for June quarter, the domestic stock market last week hit levels never seen before on Dalal Street.

Here is a review of earnings of India’s 10 most valued companies.

Reliance Industries

Reliance Industries’ consolidated net profit rose 28 per cent to Rs 9,108 crore in the June quarter, compared with Rs 7,113 crore in the same quarter last year.

Profit was boosted by Rs 1,087 crore earned from the sale of stake in Gulf Africa Petroleum Corp.

HDFC Bank

HDFC Bank, the second largest private sector lender, reported a 20.2 per cent year-on-year (YoY) rise in net profit at Rs 3,894 crore for the June quarter.

The lender had reported Rs 3,239 crore profit in the year-ago quarter.

Maruti Suzuki

The country’s largest car maker, Maruti Suzuki India, reported 4.4 per cent increase in net profit at Rs 1,556.4 crore for the first quarter ended June 30, 2017.

Due to strong volume growth, its revenue increased by 16.4 percent to Rs 19,777.4 crore viz-a-viz year-ago quarter.

Infosys

India's second biggest software services exporter Infosys reported a 1.4 per cent growth in its net profit at Rs 3,483 crore for the April-June quarter.

The IT major overshot first-quarter profit estimates helped by key client wins. Infosys added eight clients in its $100 million category during the quarter.

Kotak Mahindra Bank

Kotak Mahindra Bank's June quarter earnings rose 23 per cent to Rs 912.7 crore driven by growth in all its businesses from retail to treasury to corporate lending.

Net interest income climbed 17 per cent to Rs 2,245.5 crore, from Rs 1,919 crore last year.

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Nifty index topped a 100-point multiple in series

The 50-share index has risen around 22 percent so far this calendar and the uptrend has been a fairly consistent one.

With the Nifty having topped the 10,000-mark convincingly, bullish traders have now set their sights on the index having a free run for another 200-300 points.

If you are among those who feel that the index still has steam left in it, buying a call option for a strike price at the nearest 100-point multiple early on in the new F&O series would be the best way to play the trade.

Moneycontrol analysed the seven F&O series in 2017 starting from January, which shows that the Nifty index has topped a 100-point multiple at least once in every series.

This interesting trend hindsight shows that if investor had bought out-of-the-money call option for strike price closest to the next 100 multiple of NIFTY level on the first day of the new series and sold it as soon as the option is at-the-money or near to that, he would have gained a minimum of 12 percent and maximum of 105 percent on that option. We did the back testing of this for the last seven F&O series.

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Govt raises Rs 535 cr from NFL share sale

The government's 15 per cent stake sale in National Fertilizers Ltd (NFL) today fetched Rs 535 crore to the exchequer, with over-subscription from both retail and institutional investors.

The two-day offer for sale (OFS) opened for retail investors today and was over-subscribed 1.66 times.

Against Rs 107 crore reserved for retail investors, total bids of Rs 178.67 crore were received.

Institutional investors' portion was over-subscribed 1.35 times yesterday with bids worth Rs 578.8 crore coming in against shares for value of Rs 428.57 crore at the floor price.

"Overall, NFL OFS for 15 per cent divestment for equity shares of 7.35 crore amounting to Rs 535.71 crore at the floor price Rs 72.80 per share, received a total demand for equity shares amounting to Rs 757.45 crore. Therefore, the OFS of NFL was over-subscribed by 1.41 times," the Finance ministry said in a statement.

This is the third CPSE OFS in the current financial year, and the government is likely to get Rs 535 crore approximately, it added.

The government shareholding in NFL after this OFS has come down to 74.71%.

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Today Maruti Suzuki Q1 results

Today Country’s largest carmaker Maruti Suzuki may report double-digit growth in net profit for the quarter ended June 30, 2017. 

Brokerage firm Edelweiss Securities sees 20.60 per cent YoY rise profit after tax, while EBITDA and revenue may increase by 16 per cent and 16.40 per cent on YoY basis. 

Market experts see volume growth of 13 per cent YoY (and 5 per cent QoQ) to around 3,94,571 units, led by better performance from Baleno and Brezza with incremental Gujarat production, though slightly impacted by GST transition. 

Shares of the company settled 0.84 per cent up at Rs 7577.95 on Wednesday. 

According to brokerage Motilal Oswal, the car major may post 9.5 per cent YoY rise in bottomline figures at Rs 1,627.40 crore against Rs 1486.20 crore in the same quarter last year. 

Motial Oswal sees 110 basis points YoY fall in EBITDA margins due to the impact of Gujarat plant and higher fixed cost due to same. Higher offers due to GST transition would also impact margins. 

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Nifty50 can scale Mt 1,00,000! Market veterans wager on time

It sounded absurd way back in 2001. The Nifty50 was ruling at sub-1,000 level right after the dotcom bubble burst. Who would have thought it would jump 10 times to hit 10,000 mark in next 16 years? 

But what about the next 10-times rise, to 1,00,000 mark? Will it take 15 years? 20 years? Or more? 

Analysts believe even if India Inc’s earnings grow in lower teens from here on, the index can climb the six-digit mark in just about 15 years. 

Historically, Nifty50’s earnings growth has been in the 15-17 per cent range. 

“Going forward, it will be a function of inflation and real GDP growth. Even if we see an early teens kind of compounding, that is something very much doable, we should grow another 10 times to reach the 1,00,000 mark on the Nifty50 over the next 15 to 20 years. That is something to look forward to for long-term investors,” said Gautam Sinha Roy, Fund Manager at Motilal Oswal Mutual Fund. 

What kind of wealth creation happens for investors in such a run will depend entirely on how much alpha fund managers can add. “Nifty hitting 10,000 is indeed a very momentous event, although it is more of psychological than anything else,” said Sinha Roy. 

For Porinju Veliyath, MD, Equity Intelligence India, the 10,000 mark is just a number. What he is interested in is the next 5-10 years. 

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Today's Market Update - LTI Q1 profit rises

LTI, formerly known as Larsen & Toubro Infotech, reported a net profit of Rs 2,672 million in the first quarter, an increase of 5 percent from the previous quarter, even as the company reiterated that digital business would overtake the traditional model of IT outsourcing.

The company’s chief executive officer Sanjay Jalona said that digital business now represents over 29 percent of LTI’s revenues.

The company reported revenue of Rs 16,707 million in the quarter ended June, a decline of 0.4 percent from the previous quarter, and growth of 7.4 percent since the same quarter in the previous year.

LTI added 12 new clients in the quarter, with one client each in the USD 20 million and USD 10 million revenue bands.

India business accounted for 7 percent of the revenue of LTI during the first quarter. “We have critical and large deals here (in India), and are committed to projects like Smart Cities and Digital India,” Jalona said, adding that LTI would like to keep the India business at 6-7 percent.

He said that LTI does not see the goods and services tax (GST) regime as an impediment to business in India.

The total number of employees in LTI at the end of the quarter was 22,321, with the attrition of 14.7 percent.

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Share Market Morning Update

Indian market witnessed a volatility week as benchmark indices closed marginally higher but over their crucial support levels. The Nifty50 closed 0.29 percent higher at 9,915 and the S&P BSE Sensex ended above 32,000 for the week ended 21 July.

The Nifty50 index is trading at its all-time high and the recent up move in the index has not been supported by broad market participation which in itself is a concern. It looks like that Indian market might be trading in last leg of its rally, suggest experts.

We have collated a list of top five stock ideas which could give up to 14% return in the next 5 sessions to 2 months:

Manappuram Finance: BUY| Target Rs119| Stop Loss Rs97| Return 14%

In last few months, this stock has consolidated in a broad range of Rs88-105. The prices are on the verge of a breakout from the resistance end of the mentioned range. In last few sessions, the volumes have increased with upmove in prices, which is a positive sign.

Hence, traders are advised to buy this stock at current levels and on declines up to Rs 104.50 for a target of Rs 119 over the next 14 – 21 sessions. The stop loss should be fixed at Rs 97.

IndusInd bank: SELL| Target Rs1518| Stop Loss Rs1599| Return 3%

This has been one of the steady outperforming stocks within the ‘Private’ banking space. At present, the stock is trading near its all time high; but, we are now observing a possibility of some short term correction.

Karnataka Bank: SELL| Target Rs142| Stop Loss Rs161| Return 9%

Post a stupendous up move from the levels of Rs100 to Rs180 in a span of less than seven months, the prices have undergone a consolidation phase since last few weeks.

Hence, traders are advised to sell this stock below Rs155 for a target of Rs 142 in short term. The stop loss should be fixed at Rs 161.

Container Corp: BUY| Target Rs1270| Stop Loss Rs1120| Return 7%

The stock closed at Rs1,180.55 on 21st July 2017. It made a 52-week low at Rs8,44.45 on 21st December 2016 and a 52-week high of Rs1,251.60 on 23rd May 2017. The 200-days Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stock on the daily chart is currently at Rs1,097.47

Traders can buy in the range of Rs 1,165-1,170 levels for the upside target of Rs 1,270-1,300 levels with a stop loss below Rs 1,120.

Bharti Infratel: BUY| Target Rs460| Stop Loss Rs 375| Return 12%

The stock closed at Rs410.30 on 21st July 2017. It made a 52-week low at Rs281.75 on 28th February 2017 and a 52-week high of Rs424.75 on 18th July 2017. The 200-days Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stock on the daily chart is currently at 363.59.

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Asian Research House Investment Advisor

I-T dept detects Rs 19,000 crore black money

The Income Tax department has detected over Rs 19,000 crore in black money following investigations into global leaks including HSBC account holders in Switzerland, the government said on Friday.

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said investigations into information, put into public domain by the ICIJ, pertaining to about 700 Indian persons allegedly linked to offshore entities based on no tax or low tax jurisdiction, have led to detection of more than Rs 11,010 crore of credits in undisclosed foreign accounts.

"72 prosecution complaints in 31 such cases have been filed before the criminal courts," he informed the Lok Sabha.

The government constituted a multi-agency group (MAG) in April 2016 for facilitation coordinated and speedy investigation in the cases of Indian persons allegedly having undisclosed foreign assets and whose names were reportedly included in Panama papers leak.

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RIL likely to open 3-4% higher today

Reliance Industries delivered a massive beat in almost all parameters when it reported its results for the quarter ended June on Thursday. The stock could well open with a gap up of 3-5 percent by today, suggest experts.

We have collated a list of top 10 takeaways from RIL Q1 results:

Net Profit up 28%

RIL reported 28 percent YoY growth in net profit to Rs9,108 crore which was higher than a CNBC-TV18 poll of 7,960 crores. The oil & gas major reported a net profit of Rs7,113 crore in the corresponding quarter of last fiscal.

Total Revenues:

Consolidated Total revenues rose 27.7 percent on a YoY basis to Rs90,537 crore for the quarter ended June 30, compared to Rs71,451 crore reported in the year-ago period.

Strong beat on GRMs:

Strong refining and petrochemicals margin environment contributed to higher operating profits for the quarter. Gross refining margins recorded nine-year-high of $ 11.9/bbl whereas petrochemicals EBIT margin were at an all-time high of 15.8 percent.

Increase in Employee Cost:

Employee cost increased by 16.3 percent at Rs2,455 crore ($ 380 million) as against Rs2,111 crore in corresponding period of the previous year due to increased employee base and higher payouts.

Operating profit rose by nearly 12%

Operating profit before other income and depreciation increased by 11.9 percent on a Y-o-Y basis to Rs12,554 crore ($ 1.9 billion) from Rs11,223 crore in the previous year.

Capital Expenditure:

The capital expenditure for the quarter ended 30th June 2017 was Rs25,192 crore (USD 3.9 billion) including exchange rate difference capitalization.

Refining Margins:

During 1Q FY18, revenue from the Refining and Marketing segment increased by 18.3 percent on a Y-o-Y basis to Rs66,945 crore (USD 10.4 billion). Gross Refining Margins (GRM) for 1Q FY18 stood at USD 11.9/bbl as against USD 11.5/bbl in 1Q FY17.

Petchem Margins:

1Q FY18 revenue from the Petrochemicals segment increased by 22.9 percent on a Y-o-Y basis to Rs25,461 crore (USD 3.9 billion), primarily due to increase in prices of PP, PVC, PTA, and Polyester and increase in volumes due to addition in the capacity of PX at Jamnagar.

Oil & Gas Business:

1Q FY18 revenues for the Oil & Gas segment decreased by 1.2 percent on a Y-o-Y basis to Rs 1,324 crore primarily due to lower volumes in US shale and domestic operations. Segment EBIT was at (373) crore, impacted by an overall decline in volumes and lower realizations in domestic business.

Retail business revenue grew by 73%

1Q FY18 revenues grew by 73.6 percent on a Y-o-Y basis to a Rs11,571 crore, a milestone level for quarterly revenues. The increase in revenue was led by growth across all consumption baskets.

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Market Closing Update - Sensex, Nifty close lower after rangebound trade

The 30-share BSE Sensex was down 50.95 points at 31,904.40 and the 50-share NSE Nifty fell 26.30 points to 9,873.30 despite positive global cues. It was weighed down by correction in FMCG, technology, metals and pharma stocks.

HDFC Securities said, "Nifty managed to hold on to 9800 support and now that becomes the base for the short-term.

The broader markets also were under pressure, with the BSE Midcap index falling half a percent on weak breadth. About 1,457 shares declined against 1,263 advancing shares on the exchange.

Kotak Mahindra Bank fell 1.44 percent and Bajaj Auto declined 0.2 percent after disappointing June quarter earnings. ABB India gained more than 6 percent but managed to settle with only 0.4 percent gains post Q2 numbers.

ONGC gained 1.75 percent and HPCL lost 4 percent after the Cabinet gave ONGC in-principle approval to buy government's stake in HPCL.

Bajaj Hindusthan, Dhampur Sugar, Mawana Sugars, Rajshree Sugars, Sakthi Sugars, Shree Renuka Sugars, Simbhaoli Sugar, Triveni Engineering and Ugar Sugar rallied 2-10 percent.

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Gold rises to Rs 29,050 on global cues

Gold prices shot up by Rs 190 to Rs 29,050 per ten gram at the bullion market today on firm cues from global markets and increased buying by local jewelers. 

Silver also regained the Rs 38,000-mark on increased off-take by industrial units and coin makers. 

Market men said a firm trend overseas and increased buying by local jewelers at domestic spot markets led to the rise in gold prices. 

Globally, gold rose by 0.91 per cent to USD 1,228.40 an ounce and silver by 1.82 per cent to USD 15.96 an ounce in New York in yesterday's trade. 

In the national capital, gold of 99.9 per cent and 99.5 per cent purity gained Rs 190 each to Rs 29,050 and Rs 28,900 per ten gram respectively. It had lost Rs 190 in yesterday's trade. 

Sovereign, however, remained flat at Rs 24,400 per piece of eight gram in scattered deals. 

Tracking gold, silver ready went up by a whopping Rs 600 to Rs 38,000 per kg and weekly-based delivery by Rs 625 to Rs 37,000 per kg. 

Silver coins too spurted by Rs 1,000 to Rs 70,000 for buying and Rs 71,000 for selling of 100 pieces. 

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Infosys beats TCS on almost all earnings parameters

IT giants TCS and Infosys delivered their much awaited first quarter earnings during the week, which were mixed in performance. Quantam wise both are not comparable but in growth terms Infosys beat TCS.

Infosys on Friday surprised the Street by reporting better-than-expected constant currency revenue growth (2.7 percent QoQ), dollar revenue (3.2 percent) and lower-than-expected 3.3 percent fall in profit.

At the same time, however, the Tata Group firm lagged Infosys as it posted 2 percent revenue growth in constant currency, 3.1 percent in dollar revenue and 10 percent fall in bottom line.

In rupee revenue terms, TCS and Infosys each posted 0.2 percent degrowth.

However, TCS beat Infosys only in volume growth (3.5 percent and 1.7 percent) and North America business (1.7 percent and 1.3 percent).

Attrition at Infosys was much higher at 21 percent compared with 11.6 percent of TCS during the quarter.

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आज का बाजारः कैसी रहेगी चाल, किस शेयर में मुनाफे की गारंटी

आज का बाजार इंफोसिस का नतीजों पर नजर रखेगा। कल आए टीसीएस के नतीजों में मार्जिन के मोर्चे पर काफी निराशा हुई है। इस स्थिति में अगर आज इंफोसिस के नतीजे अच्छे रहते हैं तो बाजार के सेंटीमेंट में सुधार आएगा। अगर ग्लोबल बाजार साथ देता है तो आज बाजार में और मुनाफा मिलेगा लेकिन 9950-9940 के स्तर पर थोड़ा-बहुत मुनाफा वसूली देखने को मिल सकती है। आज निफ्टी में ऊपरी स्तरों पर थोड़ा बहुत वसूली देखने को मिल सकती है। लेकिन निफ्टी जब तक 9000 का स्तर होल्ड करता है गिरावट पर खरीदारी की सलाह होगी।

शानदार कमाई की वैल्यू पिक - 

डीएचएफएल: खरीदें, 12 महीने का लक्ष्य 510 रुपये

दीवान हाउसिंग यानि डीएचएफएल भारत की चौथी सबसे बड़ी हाउसिंग फाइनेंस कंपनी है। कंपनी का फोकस छोटे शहरों और छोटे लोन पर है। साल 2012-16 के बीच कंपनी की लोन ग्रोथ 35 फीसदी के आसपास रही है। कंपनी 72 फीसदी लोन आम लोगों को देती है। कंपनी के नतीजे भी काफी अच्छे रहे हैं। 12 महीने की अवधि में डीएचएफएल में 510 रुपये का स्तर आसानी से देखने को मिल सकता है।

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Share Market Morning Update

The Nifty, which made a fresh record high of 9,830.05 on Tuesday, witnessed selling pressure towards the end of the trading session and made a ‘Shooting Star’ kind of pattern on the daily candlestick charts.

A 'Shooting Star' type of pattern is formed when the index trades well above its opening level but bears try to regain control on D-Street and the index comes under selling pressure as traders start booking profits at higher levels.

In exact 'Shooting Star' formation, the distance between the lowest price for the day and the closing price must be very small or non-existent. However, in Tuesday’s trading session, there was a small lower shadow.

The index has a strong support placed at 9,600 and investors will be better off booking some profits at higher levels. Investors can still maintain long positions with a stop below 9,700.

Support & Resistance level for Nifty -

The Nifty closed 15 points higher or 0.15 percent at 9,786.05. According to Pivot charts, the key support level for Nifty is placed at 9,766.58, followed by 9,747.12. If the index starts to move higher then key resistance levels to watch out are 9,817.78, followed by 9,849.52.

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Stock Market Updates - AU Small Finance Bank makes strong listing gains

AU Small Finance Bank on Monday made a strong debut on BSE, as the scrip got listed at Rs 525, a 46.65% premium to the issue price of Rs 358 a piece.

The scrip eventually closed the day at Rs 541.20, up Rs 183.20 or 51.17 %. At this price, the bank commands a market capitalization of Rs 15,383.66 crore. 

The Rs 1,912 crore IPO, which was sold between June 28 and June 30, was subscribed 53.60 times. The category reserved for qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) was subscribed 78.77 times, while the quota reserved for non-institutional investors (NIIs) and retail individual investors (RIIs) were subscribed 143.51 times and 3.52 times, respectively. 

AU Small Finance Bank in December 2016 received licence from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to set up a small finance bank. It commenced operations in April this year. 

The bank operates in three business segments, where vehicle finance accounts for 50% of AUM, micro, small & medium enterprises 30% and small & medium enterprises 20 per cent. Over FY 15-17, the lender’s gross AUM saw a 39% CAGR resulting in 58 per cent PAT CAGR during the same period. 

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MSEI defers plans to extend trading hours

The country's markets regulator is open to the idea of the Metropolitan Stock Exchange of India (MSEI) extending its trading hours but wants a proper structure in place and has asked the exchange to first comply with clearing corporation norms.

The regulator told MSEI that in 2009, it had allowed extended hours for equity cash and equity derivatives. MSEI, however, is only allowed in the cash segment. It has now laid conditions before MSEI for extending its trading hours including thoroughly checking the IT, trading and risk management structures.

According to SEBI's calculations, the liquid net worth of MSEI's clearing corporation is not in compliance with Stock Exchanges and Clearing Corporations (SECC) norms.

The MSEI, earlier known as MCX-SX, was set up by Jignesh Shah-led Financial Technologies (India) Ltd (FTIL) and it commenced operations in the currency derivatives segment in October 2008

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Base Metals Down on weak demand

Lead futures shed 0.79%, hurt by muted spot demand 

Lead prices were down 0.79 per cent to Rs 150.20 per kg in futures trading today as participants reduced their exposure amid subdued demand from consuming industries in the spot market. 

At the Multi Commodity Exchange, lead for delivery in July declined by Rs 1.20, or 0.79 per cent, to Rs 150.20 per kg, in a business turnover of 889 lots. 

Likewise, the metal for delivery in August shed Rs 1 shed Rs 1.10, or 0.72 per cent, to Rs 151 per kg in two lots. 

Marketmen said the weakness in lead futures was due to a sluggish demand from battery-makers at the domestic markets. 

Nickel futures fall as muted demand hurts 

Amid muted demand at domestic spot markets and profit-booking by speculators nickel prices dropped 1.47 per cent to Rs 598 per kg in futures trade today. 

At the Multi Commodity Exchange, nickel for delivery in July was trading Rs 8.90, or 1.47 per cent down, at Rs 598 per kg, in a business turnover of 2,314 lots. 

The metal for delivery in August also shed Rs 8.90, or 1.45 per cent, to Rs 603.20 per kg, in a turnover of 106 lots. 

Analysts said the fall in nickel prices in futures trade is mostly attributed to a weakening trend at the domestic spot markets due to easing demand from alloy-makers. 

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Share Market News - Top Stock Companies Report

बीते हफ्ते टॉप 10 में से 8 कंपनियों का मार्केट कैपिटलाइजेशन 48,433.79 करोड़ रुपए घटा, जिसमें रिलायंस इंडस्ट्रीज को सबसे ज्यादा नुकसान हुआ। वहीं टीसीएस और आईटीसी के मार्केट कैप में बढ़ोतरी हुई।

रिलायंस इंडस्ट्रीज को सबसे ज्यादा नुकसान 

बीते हफ्ते के कारोबार में रिलायंस इंडस्ट्रीज को सबसे ज्यादा नुकसान हुआ। रिलायंस इंडस्ट्रीज का मार्केट 17,802.33 करोड़ रुपए घटकर 4,48,797.36 करोड़ रुपए रह गया। 

एसबीआई का मार्केट कैप 13,163.88 करोड़ रुपए गिरकर 2,36,172.90 करोड़ रुपए और एचडीएफसी का मार्केट कैप 5,919.13 करोड़ रुपए लुढ़ककर 4,25,269.87 करोड़ रुपए हो गया।

आईटीसी, टीसीएस का मार्केट कैप बढ़ा 

हालांकि आईटीसी का मार्केट कैप 15,791.6 करोड़ रुपए बढ़कर 3,93,393 करोड़ रुपए और टीसीएस का मार्केट कैप 729.06 करोड़ रुपए चढ़कर 4,65,878.13 करोड़ रुपए रहा।

टीसीएस नंबर वन -

मार्केट कैप में बढ़ोतरी के साथ रिलायंस इंडस्ट्रीज को पीछे छोड़ टीसीएस एक बार फिर देश की नंबर एक कंपनी बन गई। रैंकिंग में टीसीएस बाद आरआईएल, एचडीएफसी बैंक, आईटीसी, एचडीएफसी, एसबीआई, एचयूएल, मारुति, इंफोसिस और ओएनजीसी रही। 

पिछले हफ्ते सेंसेक्स में रिकॉर्ड 216.60 प्वाइंट्स यानी 0.69 फीसदी की गिरावट हुई, जबकि निफ्टी 54.05 प्वाइंट्स यानी 0.56 फीसदी गिरा।

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GST: What could get costlier, what could get cheaper

Here’s how prices of goods could move after the new GST rates kick-in from Today July 1, 2017.

Cheaper Meals

A restaurant bill now is a complex jumble of food costs, taxes on food and alcohol and services, cesses and service charges. After GST, you may expect eating out to be cheaper as a single tax will replace a welter of levies.

Costlier Calls

Your phone calls may become costlier. Phone bills will likely attract an 18 percent GST rate compared to the current 15 percent (including cesses).

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